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AES

The AES Corporation
$14.19SellTarget $12.48Report: Jan 30, 2026UtilitiesDiversified UtilitiesCyclical Operator

Price History

Pelican View
Current$14.19-12.1%
Rec: SellConviction: Low
Entry Target
N/A
N/A
Fair Value
$12.48
(12% below current)
Stop Loss
N/A
N/A
Position Size
None
Time Horizon
N/A

Key Metrics

Market Data
52 Week High$15.51
52 Week Low$9.46
Avg. 3 Month Volume8.12M
Efficiency
LTM Gross MarginN/A
LTM EBITDA MarginN/A
LTM EBIT MarginN/A
LTM Operating MarginN/A
LTM ROAN/A
LTM ROEN/A
LTM ROICN/A
LTM ROCEN/A
Capital Structure
Market Cap (MM)$0
Enterprise Value (MM)$0
Shares OutstandingN/A
Total Debt (MM)N/A
Cash & Equivalents (MM)N/A
LTM Net Debt (MM)N/A
LTM Net Debt/EBITDAN/A
Growth
TTM Rev. GrowthN/A
Last 3-Yr Rev. CAGRN/A
Last 3-Yr EBITDA CAGRN/A
Last 3-Yr EPS CAGRN/A
Valuation
Street Target Price$17.80
LTM EV/RevenueN/A
LTM EV/Gross ProfitN/A
LTM EV/EBITN/A
LTM EV/EBITDAN/A
LTM P/EN/A
LTM EV/FCFN/A
LTM P/FCFN/A
LTM P/TBN/A
LTM P/BN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
About the Company

The AES Corporation is a global power company that owns and operates a diverse portfolio of renewable and thermal energy generation and distribution facilities. The company's business involves the development, financing, construction, operation, and maintenance of power plants to supply electricity to utilities, industrial users, and other end customers.

Revenue Generation

The company generates revenue primarily through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities, commercial and industrial customers, and government entities. Revenue is also derived from energy marketing and trading activities, and from the sale of steam and other energy products. The company operates in multiple geographic markets, including the United States, Latin America, Europe, and Asia.

Investment Thesis
Executive SummaryAES is attempting a strategic pivot toward high-demand data center power, but the business remains a Cyclical Operator burdened by a distressed capital structure and chronic value destruction. While management points to an 11.9 GW contracted backlog, the company's ROIC of 1.7% fails to cover its 10.5% cost of capital, and a massive $29.9B debt load (821.5% Debt/Equity) leaves the equity vulnerable. Despite speculative M&A interest from infrastructure funds, our fundamental synthesis suggests the stock is overvalued relative to its operational reality and weighted liquidation value.

Recent Activity

2025-11-05+5.80%
AES reported Q3 2025 financial results, showing significant year-over-year growth and reaffirmed 2025 guidance and long-term targets.
2025-05-13+5.73%
FMR LLC and Abigail P. Johnson filed an amendment reporting 5.7% beneficial ownership of AES Corp common stock.
2025-05-10+6.74%
AES stockholders approved the 2025 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan at the Annual Meeting.

Valuation Table

MethodImplied ValueWeightWeighted Value
Comps$5.6940%$2.28
NLV$17.0060%$10.20
Total Weighted$12.48