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CRH

CRH plc
$111.10
Hold
Target $128.14
Report: Mar 09, 2026
Basic MaterialsConstruction MaterialsAsset-Based Operator
Snapshot
Decision-first overview with recommendation, valuation anchor, and current setup.

Company Overview

Research Snapshot

Price History

Pelican View
Current$111.10+15.3%
Rec: HoldConviction: Medium
Entry Target
$98.57
(11% below current)
Fair Value
$128.14
(15% above current)
Stop Loss
$86.79
(22% below current)
Position Size
Starter
Time Horizon
Strategic (2-3 Years)
Key Metrics
Live Snapshot
Market Data
52 Week High$131.55
52 Week Low$76.75
Avg. 3 Month Volume5.27M
Efficiency
LTM Gross Margin36.1%
LTM EBITDA Margin21.5%
LTM EBIT Margin15.0%
LTM Operating Margin14.6%
LTM ROA6.7%
LTM ROE16.5%
LTM ROIC11.9%
LTM ROCE12.4%
Capital Structure
Market Cap (MM)$70.2B
Enterprise Value (MM)$85.3B
Shares Outstanding669.60M
Total Debt (MM)$19.17B
Cash & Equivalents (MM)$4.15B
LTM Net Debt (MM)$15.02B
LTM Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x
Growth
TTM Rev. Growth5.3%
Last 3-Yr Rev. CAGRN/A
Last 3-Yr EBITDA CAGRN/A
Last 3-Yr EPS CAGRN/A
Valuation
Street Target Price$135.00
LTM EV/Revenue2.3x
LTM EV/Gross Profit6.3x
LTM EV/EBIT15.2x
LTM EV/EBITDA10.6x
LTM P/E18.7x
LTM EV/FCF26.4x
LTM P/FCF21.8x
LTM P/TB1.6x
LTM P/B2.9x
Dividend Yield1.4%
Payout Ratio26.7%
Executive SummarySituation: Current price is $111.1 versus fair value $128.14 (15.3% expected return), and valuation confidence is stable. Debate: Bull case depends on Eco Materials close/integration yielding $2.1B platform synergies/cross-selling per Q4 transcript; validates asset connectivity unlocking higher wallet share in data centers (100+ projects). Bear case centers on Cost inflation (labor/raws) exceeds pricing, compressing 36.1% gross margin as in FY25 +0.4pp thin gain. Conclusion: Recommendation is Hold with Starter sizing and Strategic (2-3 Years) horizon.
Bull Case
1,334 sites and 27.5B tons reserves yield structural cost edge (36.1% gross margin > peer 29.5%), infra backlogs drive 5.3% revenue/11% EBITDA growth; $40B 5-year capacity funds M&A/CapEx returns; institutional +41.6M shares Q4 2025.
Bear Case
Net debt +30% to $15.0B compresses coverage to 6.9x, TBVPS -3.5%, ROIC 8%<9.8% WACC; 0% revenue hit rate over 5 years, insider net sale $4.3M; residential weakness caps upside.
Key Catalysts
Near-Term (0-6 months)Impact: High
Eco Materials close/integration yielding $2.1B platform synergies/cross-selling per Q4 transcript; validates asset connectivity unlocking hi...
Mid-Term (6-18 months)Impact: Critical
Highway bill/continuing resolution deploys IIJA remainder (50% left), lifting volumes/pricing; addresses market infra funding fear.
Near-Term (0-6 months)Impact: Moderate
$0.3B buyback tranche + dividend +6% to $0.37; $40B 5Y capacity 70% growth/30% returns.
Primary Risks
Concern: Medium
Cost inflation (labor/raws) exceeds pricing, compressing 36.1% gross margin as in FY25 +0.4pp thin gain.
Concern: High
Leverage >2x EBITDA from $6.5B debt-funded M&A erodes flexibility if cycle turns.
Concern: Low
Regulatory/environmental blocks expansions (1,334 sites permitting scarcity).
Recent Activity
2025-12-06SEC Filing (8-K)
+5.90%
Patrick Decker resigned as CRH plc director effective December 1, 2025
2025-08-07SEC Filing (8-K)
+9.55%
CRH plc reported Q2 2025 financial results
2024-08-08SEC Filing (8-K)
+7.16%
CRH reports Q2 2024 results with revenue growth and raised full-year guidance
2024-02-29SEC Filing (8-K)
+6.29%
CRH reports 2023 full year results with record performance and raised 2024 guidance
2023-11-01SEC Filing (6-K)
+5.90%
CRH plc re-issued 6,891 treasury shares to employee share schemes at mixed prices
Valuation Table
9.8/10Decision Grade
MethodImplied ValueWeightWeighted Value
DCF$123.4355%$67.89
Comps$143.3935%$50.19
Historicals$100.7110%$10.07
Total Weighted$128.14
Scenario Range
$2
Bear
$5
Base
$149
Bull
$111