MAS
Masco Corporation$68.03
Unclear
Target $63.60
Report: Mar 07, 2026Industrials • Construction • Mature CompounderSnapshot
Decision-first overview with recommendation, valuation anchor, and current setup.
Company Overview
Research Snapshot
Price History
Pelican View
Current$68.03-6.5%
Rec: UnclearConviction: Medium
Entry Target
$48.92
(28% below current)
Fair Value
$63.60
(7% below current)
Stop Loss
$53.12
(22% below current)
Position Size
Starter
Time Horizon
Long-Term (3+ Years)
Key Metrics
Live Snapshot
Market Data
52 Week High$79.19
52 Week Low$58.16
Avg. 3 Month Volume2.98M
Efficiency
LTM Gross Margin35.4%
LTM EBITDA Margin17.9%
LTM EBIT Margin15.9%
LTM Operating Margin16.7%
LTM ROA15.9%
LTM ROE-568.4%
LTM ROIC22.0%
LTM ROCE33.7%
Capital Structure
Market Cap (MM)$15.0B
Enterprise Value (MM)$17.9B
Shares Outstanding201.73M
Total Debt (MM)$3.30B
Cash & Equivalents (MM)$388.00M
LTM Net Debt (MM)$2.91B
LTM Net Debt/EBITDA2.1x
Growth
TTM Rev. Growth-0.3%
Last 3-Yr Rev. CAGR-3.2%
Last 3-Yr EBITDA CAGR0.5%
Last 3-Yr EPS CAGR4.2%
Valuation
Street Target Price$82.36
LTM EV/Revenue2.3x
LTM EV/Gross Profit6.6x
LTM EV/EBIT14.6x
LTM EV/EBITDA13.0x
LTM P/E17.9x
LTM EV/FCF19.8x
LTM P/FCF16.5x
LTM P/TB3.4x
LTM P/B-61.9x
Dividend Yield1.7%
Payout Ratio30.9%
Executive SummarySituation: Current price is $68.03 versus fair value $63.6 (-6.5% expected return), and valuation confidence is stable. Debate: Bull case depends on Integration of Liberty Hardware into Delta Faucet Company. Bear case centers on Tariff Escalation and Commodity Price Volatility. Conclusion: Recommendation is Unclear; maintain no position until reliability and catalyst evidence improve.
Bull Case
Aging U.S. housing stock drives essential repair and remodel demand regardless of interest rates; Behr's successful expansion into the professional painter market provides a new growth engine; aggressive buybacks continue to drive double-digit EPS growth despite flat revenue.
Bear Case
High mortgage rates create a 'locked-in' effect that suppresses large-scale remodeling projects; tariff-driven commodity costs (copper, zinc) outpace pricing power, leading to margin compression; secular DIY paint weakness persists as consumer spending shifts.
Key Catalysts
Near-Term (0-6 months)Impact: Moderate
Integration of Liberty Hardware into Delta Faucet Company. This structural shift is designed to leverage Delta's scale and distribution to r...
Mid-Term (6-18 months)Impact: High
Realization of $50 Million in Restructuring Savings. Restructuring actions initiated in late 2025 are expected to fund growth initiatives an...
Long-Term (18+ months)Impact: Moderate
Masco is relevant for analysis now due to the recent leadership transition to CEO Jonathon Nudi and the significant 8.67% price reaction to...
Primary Risks
Concern: High
Tariff Escalation and Commodity Price Volatility. Rising duties on copper, zinc, and steel could outpace pricing actions, permanently impair...
Concern: Medium
Secular DIY Paint Weakness. A permanent shift in consumer behavior away from DIY projects could lead to continued double-digit declines in t...
Concern: Medium
The stewardship verdict is positive regarding capital return but cautious regarding operational forecasting. The board is highly independent...
Recent Activity
2026-02-10SEC Filing (8-K)
+8.67%Masco Corporation reports fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results with net sales of $7.562 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $3.96
2024-07-25SEC Filing (8-K)
+7.45%Masco Corporation reports second quarter 2024 results with net sales of $2.091 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $1.20
2023-10-26SEC Filing (8-K)
+6.62%Masco Corporation reports third quarter 2023 results with net sales of $1.979 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $1.00
2022-10-26SEC Filing (8-K)
-5.73%Masco Corporation reports third quarter 2022 results with net sales of $2.204 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.98
2021-10-27SEC Filing (8-K)
+5.21%Masco Corporation reports third quarter 2021 results with net sales of $2.204 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.99
Valuation Table
9.8/10Decision Grade
Scenario Range
$53
Bear
$65
Base
$76
Bull
$68