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RGTI

Rigetti Computing, Inc.
$25.11SellTarget $6.47Report: Jan 14, 2026TechnologyComputer HardwareEarly-Stage Hypergrowth

Price History

Pelican View
Current$25.11-74.2%
Rec: SellConviction: Low
Entry Target
N/A
N/A
Fair Value
$6.47
(74% below current)
Stop Loss
N/A
N/A
Position Size
None
Time Horizon
N/A

Key Metrics

Market Data
52 Week High$58.15
52 Week Low$6.86
Avg. 3 Month Volume36.15M
Efficiency
LTM Gross Margin32.2%
LTM EBITDA Margin-4555.9%
LTM EBIT Margin-4677.3%
LTM Operating Margin-1075.0%
LTM ROA-77.1%
LTM ROE-111.5%
LTM ROIC-86.5%
LTM ROCE-91.7%
Capital Structure
Market Cap (MM)$5.3B
Enterprise Value (MM)$5.3B
Shares Outstanding325.02M
Total Debt (MM)$7.60M
Cash & Equivalents (MM)$26.13M
LTM Net Debt (MM)$-18.54M
LTM Net Debt/EBITDA0.1x
Growth
TTM Rev. Growth-37.0%
Last 3-Yr Rev. CAGR-6.5%
Last 3-Yr EBITDA CAGRN/A
Last 3-Yr EPS CAGRN/A
Valuation
Street Target Price$38.00
LTM EV/Revenue706.1x
LTM EV/Gross Profit2191.1x
LTM EV/EBIT-15.1x
LTM EV/EBITDA-15.5x
LTM P/E-15.1x
LTM EV/FCF-78.3x
LTM P/FCF-78.6x
LTM P/TB8.4x
LTM P/B14.3x
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout Ratio0.0%
About the Company

Rigetti Computing, Inc. is a vertically integrated quantum computing company that builds quantum computers and the superconducting quantum processors that power them. The company operates Fab-1, a wafer fabrication facility dedicated to prototyping and producing its quantum processors. The company's mission is to build the world's most powerful computers to solve important and pressing problems, leveraging quantum mechanics to process information in fundamentally new ways compared to classical computing.

Revenue Generation

The company generates revenue through multiple streams. Currently, the substantial majority of revenues are derived from multi-year, non-recurring technology development contracts, which involve collaborative research to develop quantum algorithms and applications for customers. The company's longer-term business model centers on revenue generated from sales of quantum processing units (QPUs) and Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) products, which provide cloud-based access to quantum computers. Additional revenue is derived from Rigetti Foundry Services (chip fabrication for research partners) and professional services such as algorithm development and benchmarking. The company's primary geographic markets are the United States, Europe, and Asia, with a significant portion of revenue dependent on contracts with the U.S. public sector.

Investment Thesis
Executive SummaryRigetti is attempting to scale a chiplet-based quantum architecture to 1,000 qubits by 2027, but the financial reality is a business in structural decline with TTM revenue contracting 37% to 7.5 million. While the market focuses on a visionary technical roadmap, management has signaled a total lack of conviction through the CEO's liquidation of his entire equity stake. We conclude that the current 8.3 billion valuation is a speculative bubble disconnected from the company's eroding competitive position, massive cash burn, and the complete absence of insider alignment.

Recent Activity

2025-12-17-6.22%
Firm: Wedbush Price Target: $35.00 Price When Posted: $23.96 Implied Upside: +46.1%
2025-11-12-9.87%
Firm: Williams Trading Analyst: David Williams Price Target: $40.00 Price When Posted: $31.40 Implied Upside: +27.4%
2025-11-11-5.08%
Rigetti announced Q3 2025 financial results and updated 2026-2027 technology roadmap.

Valuation Table

MethodImplied ValueWeightWeighted Value
DCF$13.6733%$4.55
Comps$2.7560%$1.65
Historicals$3.887%$0.26
Total Weighted$6.46